@InProceedings{NelsonSoarAlbe:2009:PrFuLo,
               author = "Nelson, Bruce Walker and Soares Filho, Britaldo Silveira and 
                         Albernaz, Ana Luisa Kerti Mangabeira",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz{\^o}nia} and 
                         {Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais} and {Museu Paraense 
                         Em{\'{\i}}lio Goeldi}",
                title = "Present and future loss of climate niches in the forested 
                         Brazilian Amazon",
            booktitle = "Anais...",
                 year = "2009",
               editor = "Epiphanio, Jos{\'e} Carlos Neves and Galv{\~a}o, L{\^e}nio 
                         Soares",
                pages = "5337--5342",
         organization = "Simp{\'o}sio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, 14. (SBSR)",
            publisher = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
              address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
             keywords = "Amazon, beta diversity, habitat loss, rainfall, Walsh index, 
                         deforestation model.",
             abstract = "A map of rainfall seasonality, using the Walsh Index, was taken as 
                         a spatial proxy for forest beta diversity across the Brazilian 
                         Amazon. Deforestation up to 2006 from Inpe (Prodes Digital) and 
                         projected up to 2036, were used to determine percent loss of the 
                         original forest cover in each consecutive slice of the Walsh 
                         index. A modified version of the SimAmazonia model, with 
                         Business-as-Usual infra-structure growth, was employed for the 
                         future scenario. By 2006, over 60% of the forest in some of the 
                         drier climate niches had been lost. Dry forest is of very limited 
                         natural extent in the Amazon and is more susceptible to 
                         degradation by fire -- thus a high conservation priority. 
                         Supporting only the presently established conservation areas and 
                         indigenous areas will not be sufficient for the protection of this 
                         habitat. Losses are projected to exceed 90% of the original area 
                         in some dry climate niche slices by 2036. The largest remnants of 
                         dry forest today are in Roraima, along the Transamazon Highway and 
                         in Maranh{\~a}o. The Walsh Index appears to be a useful separate 
                         predictor of Amazon deforestation.",
  conference-location = "Natal",
      conference-year = "25-30 abr. 2009",
                 isbn = "978-85-17-00044-7",
             language = "en",
         organisation = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
                  ibi = "dpi.inpe.br/sbsr@80/2008/11.17.22.40.10",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/dpi.inpe.br/sbsr@80/2008/11.17.22.40.10",
           targetfile = "5337-5342.pdf",
                 type = "Monitoramento e Modelagem Ambiental",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}